0.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.2 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.2
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 11.3/game vs a 9.8 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 9: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away. Round 22: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Offloads
11.3per game · league avg 9.8
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Offloads
At Allianz Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.4(41)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(4)-0.4
Dry games0.4(37)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PAR · Offloads
Avg diff
-0.4
Avg diff %
-54%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02WSTPatrick Herbert0.40-100%
08-02WSTAdam Doueihi0.60-100%
08-02WSTJunior Tupou0.31+200%
08-02WSTHeamasi Makasini0.60-100%
08-02WSTSunia Turuva0.40-100%
08-02WSTJarome Luai1.61-36%
08-02WSTJahream Bula0.80-100%
08-02WSTApisai Koroisau0.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Matthew's. Computed from this app's own records.