10.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.4 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 10.3
−0.2 opponent leak — they concede 339.6/game vs a 344.9 league average
−3.0 at this ground — averages 7.4 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 8.7 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 5: 24 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WST concede · Tackles
339.6per game · league avg 344.9
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At CommBank Stadium7.4(5)-1.9
Everywhere else9.3(107)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)8.8(10)-0.5
Dry games9.3(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WST · Tackles
Avg diff
-2.3
Avg diff %
-21%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02PARToni Mataele9.40-100%
07-25CBRMatthew Timoko11.113+17%
07-25CBRSebastian Kris9.90-100%
07-10WARAdam Pompey10.514+34%
07-10WARCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad9.515+59%
07-10WARSam Healey11.114+27%
05-30CBYStephen Crichton11.911-7%
05-16MANJackson Shereb11.90-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.6 of Moses's. Computed from this app's own records.