0.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.4 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.3
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 8.9/game vs a 9.7 league average
+0.2 at this ground — averages 0.6 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 0.4 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▲projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WST concede · Offloads
8.9per game · league avg 9.7
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Offloads
At CommBank Stadium0.6(5)+0.2
Everywhere else0.4(107)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(10)+0.2
Dry games0.4(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WST · Offloads
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-43%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02PARJordan Samrani1.32+53%
08-02PARMitchell Moses0.10-100%
08-02PARBrian Kelly1.41-28%
08-02PARWill Penisini0.81+33%
08-02PARJosh Addo-Carr0.000%
08-02PARRonald Volkman0.70-100%
08-02PARIsaiah Iongi0.50-100%
08-02PARSam Tuivaiti0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Moses's. Computed from this app's own records.