2.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.8 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.6
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 33/game vs a 32.8 league average
+0.7 at this ground — averages 3.4 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 4.6 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WST concede · Tackle Breaks
33.0per game · league avg 32.8
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At CommBank Stadium3.4(5)-0.1
Everywhere else3.5(107)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)3.1(10)-0.4
Dry games3.5(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WST · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
-0.3
Avg diff %
-11%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02PARJordan Samrani2.23+39%
08-02PARJack Williams2.25+133%
08-02PARBrian Kelly3.23-5%
08-02PARWill Penisini3.53-14%
08-02PARJosh Addo-Carr3.53-15%
08-02PARRonald Volkman2.10-100%
08-02PARIsaiah Iongi4.13-26%
08-02PARKelma Tuilagi1.80-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Moses's. Computed from this app's own records.