3.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.7 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 3.8
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 351.8/game vs a 344.7 league average
+0.1 at this ground — averages 3.3 there (11 gm)
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Tackles
351.8per game · league avg 344.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Accor Stadium3.3(11)+0.3
Everywhere else3.0(12)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)3.5(2)+0.4
Dry games3.1(21)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Tackles
Avg diff
+1.2
Avg diff %
+47%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROSione Katoa1.52+37%
07-24MELSiulagi Tuimalatu-Brown2.59+255%
07-18CBRKaeo Weekes3.52-42%
07-18CBRSavelio Tamale2.60-100%
07-18CBRJed Stuart4.17+72%
07-12NEWKalyn Ponga3.26+89%
07-12NEWGreg Marzhew1.81-44%
07-12NEWDominic Young2.04+105%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jethro's. Computed from this app's own records.