0.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.4 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.5
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 11.2/game vs a 9.7 league average
−0.2 at this ground — averages 0.2 there (11 gm)
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 17: 2 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Offloads
11.2per game · league avg 9.7
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Offloads
At Accor Stadium0.2(11)-0.3
Everywhere else0.5(12)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-0.4
Dry games0.4(21)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Offloads
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-34%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARJordan Samrani1.31-24%
08-08PARMitchell Moses0.10-100%
08-08PARBrian Kelly1.41-28%
08-08PARWill Penisini0.81+33%
08-08PARJosh Addo-Carr0.000%
08-08PARRonald Volkman0.71+50%
08-08PARIsaiah Iongi0.50-100%
08-08PARSam Tuivaiti0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jethro's. Computed from this app's own records.