2.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.0 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.8
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 24.4/game vs a 23.7 league average
−0.1 at this ground — averages 2.2 there (11 gm)
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▲venue ▼projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Points
24.4per game · league avg 23.7
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Points
At Accor Stadium2.2(11)+0.8
Everywhere else1.3(12)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(2)+0.3
Dry games1.7(21)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Points
Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+23%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARJordan Samrani1.54+160%
08-08PARKitione Kautoga0.50-100%
08-08PARBrian Kelly0.90-100%
08-08PARWill Penisini1.50-100%
08-08PARJosh Addo-Carr1.30-100%
08-08PARRonald Volkman1.84+122%
08-08PARIsaiah Iongi1.50-100%
08-08PARRyley Smith0.84+400%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jethro's. Computed from this app's own records.