from 2.3 baseline, +0.3 opponent leak

• 2.3 baseline — their last 10 games; only 0 this season, too few to blend
• +0.3 opponent leak — they concede 102.9/game vs a 92.4 league average
• −0.0 at this ground — averages 2.9 there against his own 2.8 in those same seasons — 98% of his own level (7 gm)
• vs them: averages 3.1 over 7 games — 88% of his own level in those seasons — evidence, never summed

Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.