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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat — or arithmetic on them, shown in full · Gamble responsibly · Credits
Thu 19:50PEN◄SYD◄Fri 18:00MAN◄DOL◄Fri 20:00CBY◄SOU◄Sat 15:00CRO◄CBR◄Sat 17:30PAR◄NQL◄Sat 19:35BRI◄WAR◄Sun 14:00NEW◄GLD◄Sun 16:05WST◄SGI◄
Compare+
BSBailey SimonssonOFL1.560%3/5KKKitione KautogaOFL1.560%9/15BKBrian KellyOFL1.539%7/18JSJordan SamraniOFL
TMThomas MikaeleOFL1.544%8/18SDScott DrinkwaterOFL1.524%5/21BBBraidon BurnsOFL1.524%4/17JTJason TaumaloloOFL

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Browse all players →
TriesTry AssistsLine BreaksLine Break AssistsRun MetresRunsPost Contact MetresTackle BreaksTacklesOffloadsPointsGoals
1.5
31%4/13
DBDylan BrownOFL1.533%5/15
JPJunior PauloOFL0.562%8/13
WPWill PenisiniOFL0.563%5/8
WGWiremu GreigOFL0.575%3/4
RVRonald VolkmanOFL0.560%9/15
KTKelma TuilagiOFL0.544%8/18
LMLuca MorettiOFL0.543%6/14
JWJack WilliamsOFL0.540%8/20
+21 more PAR playersShowHide
JHJ'maine HopgoodOFL0.550%1/2IIIsaiah IongiOFL0.538%5/13TSTallyn Da SilvaOFL0.540%8/20ANAraz NanvaOFL0.533%1/3TBTeancum BrownOFL0.525%3/12SRSean RussellOFL0.514%2/14DWDylan WalkerOFL0.521%4/19SPSaxon PrykeOFL0.517%1/6STSam TuivaitiOFL0.513%2/15HEHarrison EdwardsOFL0.59%1/11MMMitchell MosesOFL0.57%1/15CGCharlie GuymerOFL0.56%1/16JBJack De BelinOFL0.56%1/18JPJoash PapaliiOFL0.55%1/19RSRyley SmithOFL0.50%0/10MDMatt DooreyOFL0.50%0/4TMToni MataeleOFL0.50%0/10JAJosh Addo-CarrOFL0.50%0/19ATApa TwidleOFL0.50%0/6LTLorenzo TalatainaOFL0.50%0/4JFJezaiah Funa-IutaOFL0.50%0/1
0.565%13/20
JCJake CliffordOFL0.552%11/21
JBJohn BatemanOFL0.550%2/4
MLMatthew LodgeOFL0.543%9/21
MTMurray TaulagiOFL0.544%7/16
JPJaxon PurdueOFL0.538%8/21
TCTom ChesterOFL0.545%9/20
CHCoen HessOFL0.543%9/21
JNJeremiah NanaiOFL0.538%3/8
+14 more NQL playersShowHide
LSLiam SuttonOFL0.533%2/6TDTom DeardenOFL0.527%3/11RCReuben CotterOFL0.517%3/18ZLZac LaybuttOFL0.521%4/19SMSam McIntyreOFL0.515%3/20SLSoni LukeOFL0.56%1/18GNGriffin NeameOFL0.510%2/20HLHeilum LukiOFL0.55%1/21VVViliami VaileaOFL0.50%0/2KOKai O'DonnellOFL0.50%0/10RDRobert DerbyOFL0.50%0/7EKEthan KingOFL0.50%0/8KLKaiden LahrsOFL0.50%0/3XKXavier KerriskOFL0.50%0/3
BSBailey Simonsson1.5KKKitione Kautoga1.5BKBrian Kelly1.5JSJordan Samrani1.5DBDylan Brown1.5JPJunior Paulo0.5WPWill Penisini0.5WGWiremu Greig0.5RVRonald Volkman0.5KTKelma Tuilagi0.5LMLuca Moretti0.5JWJack Williams0.5TMThomas Mikaele1.5SDScott Drinkwater1.5BBBraidon Burns1.5JTJason Taumalolo0.5JCJake Clifford0.5JBJohn Bateman0.5MLMatthew Lodge0.5MTMurray Taulagi0.5JPJaxon Purdue0.5TCTom Chester0.5CHCoen Hess0.5JNJeremiah Nanai0.5+35 more →
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RS
Ryley Smith
Parramatta Eels · vs NQL
0.5 OFLO —U —
Hit rate
0% (0/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.0
L5
0.0
L10
0.0
High
0
Projection
0.0−0.5 · line-ball
  • 0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (10 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
  • +0.0 opponent leak — they concede 10.3/game vs a 9.7 league average
  • +0.0 at this ground — averages 0 there (18 gm)
  • vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ·venue ·projection ·

Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.

0MELMar 050BRIMar 120SGIMar 220PENMar 280WSTApr 060GLDApr 120CBYApr 190MANApr 260WARMay 020SOUAug 08?NQLAug 150.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

← the price your bookie is offering
Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-15 17:30☁ 14.2°C☂ 0.3mm (35%)🌬 8.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Ryleyvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game
19.1
10
Run Metresneutral
75
1785.8
Ryley 19.1/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
5
Tackle Breaksneutral
94
36.5
Ryley 0.1/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.0
80
Tacklesunfavorable
13
333.0
Ryley 28.0/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.9
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
60
Triesneutral
81
4.8
Ryley 0.2/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
55
Try Assistsneutral
88
4.1
Ryley 0.1/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.0
Ryley 0.0/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
75
10.3
Ryley 0.0/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.0
8
Post Contact Metresneutral
100
618.4
Ryley 4.0/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 544.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Ryley19.1
10
NQL1785.8
75
Ryley 19.1/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Ryley0.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Offloads

10.3per game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Offloads

At CommBank Stadium0.0(18)-0.1
Everywhere else0.1(14)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.0(32)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs NQL · Offloads

Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-35%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDPhillip Sami0.61+67%
08-06GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui0.91+13%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita0.71+38%
08-06GLDAJ Brimson0.40-100%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell0.80-100%
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika0.30-100%
08-06GLDDean Ieremia0.000%
08-06GLDBeau Fermor0.80-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ryley's. Computed from this app's own records.
5
NQL36.5
94
Ryley 0.1/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Ryley28.0
80
NQL333.0
13
Ryley 28.0/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.9
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesneutral
Ryley0.2
60
NQL4.8
81
Ryley 0.2/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsneutral
Ryley0.1
55
NQL4.1
88
Ryley 0.1/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksneutral
Ryley0.0
0
NQL6.0
81
Ryley 0.0/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsneutral
Ryley0.0
0
NQL10.3
75
Ryley 0.0/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresneutral
Ryley4.0
8
NQL618.4
100
Ryley 4.0/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 544.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded