1.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.2 (6 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.5
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 180.6/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▼projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Runs
180.6per game · league avg 185.9
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At CommBank Stadium3.3(3)
Everywhere else3.3(17)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(2)+0.8
Dry games3.2(18)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SYD · Runs
Avg diff
-0.7
Avg diff %
-57%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYJake Turpin0.10-100%
08-07CBYBailey Hayward2.12-5%
07-30NQLKaiden Lahrs1.00-100%
07-30NQLEthan King0.80-100%
07-24NEWHarrison Graham2.60-100%
07-24NEWPhoenix Crossland2.01-50%
07-24NEWKyle McCarthy0.000%
07-17MELGabriel Satrick0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Luke's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry12.5