8.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 7.8 (6 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 8.9
−0.8 opponent leak — they concede 1519.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Run Metres
1519.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium15.7(3)-7.9
Everywhere else23.6(17)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)20.0(2)-2.7
Dry games22.7(18)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SYD · Run Metres
Avg diff
-7.7
Avg diff %
-100%
Hit rate
0/3
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
06-12DOLBrian Pouniu8.30-100%
06-05CBRChevy Stewart6.40-100%
04-11CROJayden Berrell8.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Luke's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5