161.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 156.2 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 169.0
−13.7 opponent leak — they concede 1543/game vs a 1686.6 league average
−30.4 at this ground — averages 130.9 there (26 gm)
vs them: averages 108.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Run Metres
1543.0per game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium130.9(26)+13.8
Everywhere else117.2(20)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)176.0(2)+53.4
Dry games122.6(44)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Run Metres
Avg diff
+0.9
Avg diff %
+1%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENPaul Alamoti136.981-41%
08-01GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui145.3174+20%
07-25CBYEnari Tuala154.4210+36%
07-25CBYJacob Kiraz179.2170-5%
07-18SGIToby Couchman141.9167+18%
07-18SGIClinton Gutherson154.2133-14%
07-18SGISetu Tu154.8146-6%
07-10WSTJahream Bula161.2154-4%
Similar = season average within ±23.4 of Josiah's. Computed from this app's own records.