Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
5.2+1.7 vs your line
5.5 baseline — his last 10 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 176.7/game vs a 185.9 league average
vs them: averages 5.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Signalsopponent ▼projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Runs
176.7per game · league avg 185.9
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else7.3(15)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)8.0(2)+0.8
Dry games7.2(13)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Runs
Avg diff
+2.5
Avg diff %
+69%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia2.68+212%
08-09SGIJacob Liddle3.45+46%
08-09SGIJacob Halangahu3.75+34%
08-02SOUAdam Elliott4.56+33%
08-02SOUJohn Radel4.79+91%
08-02SOULiam Le Blanc3.34+22%
07-26MANSimione Laiafi4.610+115%
07-26MANJake Simpkin3.03+2%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Matty's. Computed from this app's own records.