Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.7+0.2 · line-ball
0.8 baseline — his last 10 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 29.1/game vs a 32.8 league average
vs them: averages 3.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Signalsopponent ▼projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Tackle Breaks
29.1per game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else1.6(15)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(2)-0.1
Dry games1.6(13)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.6
Avg diff %
+23%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga1.62+25%
08-09SGIJacob Liddle0.60-100%
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.10-100%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.40-100%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.60-100%
08-09SGIHamish Stewart1.12+90%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson1.56+292%
08-09SGIJacob Halangahu0.41+175%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Matty's. Computed from this app's own records.