Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.3−0.2 · line-ball
0.3 baseline — his last 10 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 8.6/game vs a 9.7 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Signalsopponent ▼projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 9: 2 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Offloads
8.6per game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Offloads
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.3(15)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-0.4
Dry games0.4(13)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Offloads
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
-37%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGITyrell Sloan0.40-100%
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga0.10-100%
08-09SGIMoses Suli0.40-100%
08-09SGIValentine Holmes1.22+74%
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.10-100%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.10-100%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson0.91+6%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.41+125%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Matty's. Computed from this app's own records.