12.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 12.8 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.7
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 181.3/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 11.5 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 19: 20 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Runs
181.3per game · league avg 185.9
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At CommBank Stadium10.0(3)+0.1
Everywhere else9.9(57)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)9.3(3)-0.6
Dry games9.9(57)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Runs
Avg diff
+0.4
Avg diff %
+1%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad13.819+37%
08-07WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira11.811-7%
08-07WARTanner Stowers-Smith11.511-5%
08-07WARAdam Pompey11.50-100%
08-07WARErin Clark14.614-4%
08-01CBRMatthew Timoko14.519+31%
08-01CBRKaeo Weekes14.318+26%
08-01CBRXavier Savage11.915+26%
Similar = season average within ±1.9 of Siua's. Computed from this app's own records.