11.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 11.4 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.5
−1.1 opponent leak — they concede 494.6/game vs a 544.2 league average
+1.9 at this ground — averages 13.7 there (10 gm)
vs them: averages 26.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▲projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Post Contact Metres
494.6per game · league avg 544.2
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium13.7(10)-11.2
Everywhere else24.9(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-22.8
Dry games22.8(41)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-4.2
Avg diff %
-36%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENFreddy Lussick10.56-43%
08-01GLDOliver Pascoe12.01-92%
07-18SGIDaniel Atkinson11.614+21%
07-10WSTJarome Luai12.110-17%
06-27DOLIsaiya Katoa12.20-100%
05-31PENFreddy Lussick10.56-43%
05-23SGIDaniel Atkinson11.613+12%
05-23SGIHayden Buchanan12.39-27%
Similar = season average within ±1.7 of Hayze's. Computed from this app's own records.