41.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 39.7 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 43.7
−3.5 opponent leak — they concede 1543/game vs a 1686.6 league average
+8.1 at this ground — averages 49.4 there (10 gm)
vs them: averages 140.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▲projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Run Metres
1543.0per game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium49.4(10)-65.9
Everywhere else115.3(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-102.1
Dry games102.1(41)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Run Metres
Avg diff
-8.2
Avg diff %
-19%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01GLDJaylan De Groot39.00-100%
08-01GLDOliver Pascoe41.115-64%
08-01GLDJosh Patston36.9370%
07-18SGIJacob Liddle36.133-9%
07-18SGIKyle Flanagan36.453+46%
06-27DOLBradley Schneider35.356+59%
06-27DOLJeremy Marshall-King43.349+13%
06-21NQLSam McIntyre40.50-100%
Similar = season average within ±6.0 of Hayze's. Computed from this app's own records.