5.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 5.0 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.5
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 175.7/game vs a 185.9 league average
+1.0 at this ground — averages 6.2 there (10 gm)
vs them: averages 16.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▲projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Runs
175.7per game · league avg 185.9
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium6.2(10)-6.9
Everywhere else13.1(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-11.8
Dry games11.8(41)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Runs
Avg diff
+0.5
Avg diff %
+5%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENIzack Tago5.615+170%
08-01GLDOliver Pascoe5.13-41%
08-01GLDJaylan De Groot4.10-100%
08-01GLDJosh Patston4.14-3%
07-25CBYJosh Curran5.57+27%
07-18SGIDaniel Atkinson6.47+9%
07-18SGIKyle Flanagan5.59+63%
07-18SGIDamien Cook5.71-82%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Hayze's. Computed from this app's own records.