1.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.2 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 5 1.2
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 594.5/game vs a 544.6 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Post Contact Metres
594.5per game · league avg 544.6
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else1.2(5)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games1.2(5)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-1.4
Avg diff %
-75%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLBrian Pouniu2.40-100%
08-01NEWToby Winter0.000%
08-01NEWPhoenix Crossland1.70-100%
07-25NQLEthan King1.90-100%
07-16PENBilly Scott1.50-100%
07-04CROJayden Berrell0.90-100%
07-04CROHarrison Hassett0.000%
06-06GLDLuke Sommerton2.70-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Luke's. Computed from this app's own records.