8.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.8 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 5 8.8
+0.8 opponent leak — they concede 1838.8/game vs a 1687.8 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Run Metres
1838.8per game · league avg 1687.8
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else8.8(5)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games8.8(5)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Run Metres
Avg diff
-8.2
Avg diff %
-97%
Hit rate
0/4
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLBrian Pouniu8.30-100%
07-04CROJayden Berrell8.31-88%
06-06GLDLuke Sommerton7.80-100%
04-04GLDSam Verrills9.50-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Luke's. Computed from this app's own records.