7.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.1 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 6.8
−0.5 opponent leak — they concede 505.5/game vs a 544.6 league average
+6.4 at this ground — averages 14 there (5 gm)
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 11: 20 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Post Contact Metres
505.5per game · league avg 544.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Accor Stadium14.0(5)+7.3
Everywhere else6.7(14)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)13.3(3)+5.6
Dry games7.8(16)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBY · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-2.6
Avg diff %
-31%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDDaly Cherry-Evans9.53-68%
07-31MELJack Hetherington9.00-100%
07-11CBROwen Pattie8.918+102%
06-26GLDJaylan De Groot9.416+70%
06-26GLDZane Harrison7.86-23%
06-20MANJamal Fogarty8.76-31%
06-20MANJake Simpkin8.10-100%
05-30WSTMavrik Geyer8.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ashton's. Computed from this app's own records.