8.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 9.0 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 8.8
−0.2 opponent leak — they concede 181.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
+1.1 at this ground — averages 10 there (5 gm)
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Runs
181.2per game · league avg 185.9
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Accor Stadium10.0(5)+2.0
Everywhere else8.0(14)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)6.7(3)-2.2
Dry games8.9(16)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBY · Runs
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
+1%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDConnor Watson7.66-21%
08-07SYDHugo Savala9.45-47%
08-07SYDDaly Cherry-Evans8.26-26%
08-07SYDCody Ramsey7.912+51%
08-07SYDSpencer Leniu8.96-32%
07-31MELJoe Chan8.95-44%
07-31MELOryn Keeley8.518+111%
07-31MELCooper Clarke10.212+18%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ashton's. Computed from this app's own records.