2.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.4 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 6.0
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 354.1/game vs a 344.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 16: 26 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Tackles
354.1per game · league avg 344.7
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Accor Stadium0.0(2)-6.3
Everywhere else6.3(12)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-5.8
Dry games5.8(13)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBY · Tackles
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-5%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDTommy Talau1.80-100%
08-07SYDRex Bassingthwaighte1.50-100%
07-18WSTKit Laulilii0.000%
07-11CBRCoby Black0.000%
06-08PARApa Twidle0.80-100%
05-01NQLRobert Derby1.70-100%
04-24BRIHayze Perham1.15+358%
04-19PARLorenzo Talataina0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Moala's. Computed from this app's own records.