0.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.3 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.4
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 33.5/game vs a 32.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 6 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Tackle Breaks
33.5per game · league avg 32.7
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Accor Stadium0.0(2)-1.6
Everywhere else1.6(12)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-1.5
Dry games1.5(13)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBY · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+26%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDReece Robson1.52+33%
08-07SYDNat Butcher0.91+6%
08-07SYDDaly Cherry-Evans0.92+122%
08-07SYDSam Walker1.41-28%
08-07SYDSalesi Foketi0.71+43%
08-07SYDVictor Radley1.00-100%
08-07SYDHugo Savala1.63+85%
08-07SYDCody Ramsey1.42+48%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Moala's. Computed from this app's own records.