124.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 127.4 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 119.0
+16.8 opponent leak — they concede 1914.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Run Metres
1914.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium114.3(3)+3.1
Everywhere else111.3(18)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-117.3
Dry games117.3(20)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Run Metres
Avg diff
-17.0
Avg diff %
-13%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROAddin Fonua-Blake136.185-38%
08-09CROJesse Ramien126.384-33%
07-26GLDJayden Campbell108.7113+4%
07-26GLDBeau Fermor122.7151+23%
07-26GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui145.3198+36%
07-26GLDJojo Fifita118.587-27%
07-26GLDDean Ieremia126.4160+27%
07-26GLDSiale Faeamani130.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±19.1 of Luke's. Computed from this app's own records.