26.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 26.3 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 27.3
+2.4 opponent leak — they concede 594.4/game vs a 545.7 league average
−10.7 at this ground — averages 16 there (9 gm)
vs them: averages 22.5 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Post Contact Metres
594.4per game · league avg 545.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Allianz Stadium16.0(9)-6.8
Everywhere else22.8(106)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)22.3(14)
Dry games22.2(101)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PAR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-2.4
Avg diff %
-10%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02WSTPatrick Herbert27.626-6%
08-02WSTTony Sukkar23.626+10%
08-02WSTHeath Mason23.80-100%
08-02WSTStarford To'a26.30-100%
07-23PENJaxen Edgar22.726+15%
07-23PENLiam Martin29.743+45%
07-23PENScott Sorensen27.638+38%
07-23PENBilly Phillips22.826+14%
Similar = season average within ±3.9 of Alex's. Computed from this app's own records.