130.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 134.6 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 125.1
+9.7 opponent leak — they concede 1816.7/game vs a 1690.9 league average
−31.7 at this ground — averages 99.1 there (9 gm)
vs them: averages 134.4 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Run Metres
1816.7per game · league avg 1690.9
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Allianz Stadium99.1(9)-19.8
Everywhere else118.9(106)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)121.0(14)+4.1
Dry games116.9(101)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PAR · Run Metres
Avg diff
+4.2
Avg diff %
+2%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02WSTAlex Twal125.1141+13%
08-02WSTSunia Turuva137.2170+24%
08-02WSTAdam Doueihi128.8157+22%
08-02WSTTerrell May152.0212+39%
08-02WSTHeamasi Makasini122.965-47%
08-02WSTJunior Tupou139.0128-8%
07-23PENLiam Henry119.889-26%
07-23PENIsaah Yeo120.6117-3%
Similar = season average within ±20.2 of Alex's. Computed from this app's own records.