0.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.1 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.1
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 5.1/game vs a 4.2 league average
−0.1 at this ground — averages 0 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 0.1 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 6: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away. Round 7: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Tries
5.1per game · league avg 4.2
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tries
At CommBank Stadium0.0(13)-0.2
Everywhere else0.2(110)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(10)+0.1
Dry games0.2(113)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Tries
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-55%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROMawene Hiroti0.10-100%
08-09CRONicho Hynes0.40-100%
08-09CROSione Katoa0.81+27%
08-09CROJesse Ramien0.41+133%
08-09CRORonaldo Mulitalo0.90-100%
08-09CROBraydon Trindall0.40-100%
08-09CROWilliam Kennedy0.50-100%
08-09CROAddin Fonua-Blake0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Apisai's. Computed from this app's own records.