12.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 12.0 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.4
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 180.1/game vs a 186.3 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 11.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 13: 18 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Runs
180.1per game · league avg 186.3
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium12.0(1)+1.5
Everywhere else10.5(31)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(2)-3.7
Dry games10.7(30)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Runs
Avg diff
+2.9
Avg diff %
+25%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROCameron McInnes10.316+55%
08-02CROJesse Colquhoun12.516+28%
08-02CROAddin Fonua-Blake13.217+29%
08-02CROTeig Wilton10.513+23%
08-02CRONicho Hynes11.717+45%
07-24MELMoses Leo12.114+16%
07-24MELJahrome Hughes11.313+16%
07-24MELStefano Utoikamanu13.312-9%
Similar = season average within ±1.8 of Kitione's. Computed from this app's own records.