30.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 26.3 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 35.8
+2.8 opponent leak — they concede 594.5/game vs a 544.6 league average
−18.9 at this ground — averages 11.2 there (6 gm)
vs them: averages 8.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Post Contact Metres
594.5per game · league avg 544.6
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium11.2(6)-7.8
Everywhere else19.0(38)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)3.5(2)-15.1
Dry games18.6(42)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+2%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLFrancis Molo27.58-71%
08-08DOLMorgan Knowles24.411-55%
08-08DOLMax Plath28.866+129%
08-08DOLThomas Flegler29.114-52%
08-01NEWFletcher Sharpe28.226-8%
08-01NEWMat Croker28.733+15%
07-25NQLScott Drinkwater23.130+30%
07-25NQLGriffin Neame28.936+25%
Similar = season average within ±3.9 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.