9.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.4 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 6.9
+1.2 opponent leak — they concede 618.4/game vs a 544.2 league average
+10.1 at this ground — averages 19.2 there (18 gm)
vs them: averages 26.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Post Contact Metres
618.4per game · league avg 544.2
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium19.2(18)+6.2
Everywhere else12.9(17)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-16.6
Dry games16.6(34)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+5.5
Avg diff %
+56%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDOliver Pascoe12.014+17%
08-06GLDJaylan De Groot9.438+303%
07-30SYDSam Walker11.410-12%
07-30SYDDaly Cherry-Evans9.514+48%
06-27PENFreddy Lussick10.518+71%
06-21WARChanel Harris-Tavita9.915+52%
05-31CBREthan Sanders9.56-37%
05-24SOUCody Walker11.212+7%
Similar = season average within ±1.6 of Charlie's. Computed from this app's own records.