0.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.7 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.3
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 11.1/game vs a 9.8 league average
−0.2 at this ground — averages 0.8 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 0.7 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Offloads
11.1per game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Offloads
At Allianz Stadium0.8(4)-0.3
Everywhere else1.1(106)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)-0.6
Dry games1.1(108)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Offloads
Avg diff
+0.6
Avg diff %
+40%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROKL Iro0.61+80%
08-02CRONicho Hynes1.64+146%
08-02CROSione Katoa0.50-100%
08-02CROJesse Ramien0.91+8%
08-02CRORonaldo Mulitalo1.43+114%
08-02CROBraydon Trindall0.41+138%
08-02CROWilliam Kennedy0.30-100%
08-02CROBlayke Brailey0.71+36%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Will's. Computed from this app's own records.