14.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 14.7 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 14.0
−0.5 opponent leak — they concede 180.1/game vs a 186.3 league average
−0.2 at this ground — averages 14.3 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 11.3 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 8: 22 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Runs
180.1per game · league avg 186.3
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium14.3(4)+1.9
Everywhere else12.3(106)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)13.0(2)+0.6
Dry games12.4(108)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Runs
Avg diff
-3.0
Avg diff %
-19%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROSamuel Stonestreet14.10-100%
08-02CROJesse Colquhoun12.516+28%
08-02CROAddin Fonua-Blake13.217+29%
08-02CROWilliam Kennedy15.412-22%
08-02CROKL Iro15.56-61%
08-02CRORonaldo Mulitalo16.613-22%
08-02CROJesse Ramien14.215+5%
07-24MELStefano Utoikamanu13.312-9%
Similar = season average within ±2.2 of Will's. Computed from this app's own records.