4.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 4.1 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 3.8
+0.5 opponent leak — they concede 36.5/game vs a 32.7 league average
+0.3 at this ground — averages 4.2 there (18 gm)
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Tackle Breaks
36.5per game · league avg 32.7
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At CommBank Stadium4.2(18)+0.4
Everywhere else3.8(18)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)-2.1
Dry games4.1(35)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+7%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDKeano Kini4.75+8%
08-06GLDPhillip Sami3.55+45%
07-30SYDMark Nawaqanitawase4.16+48%
07-30SYDJames Tedesco4.91-79%
07-30SYDRobert Toia4.55+10%
07-30SYDNaufahu Whyte2.92-31%
07-25BRIKotoni Staggs3.65+39%
07-25BRIPayne Haas3.54+16%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Isaiah's. Computed from this app's own records.