0.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.5 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.6
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 4.3/game vs a 3.5 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.5 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Try Assists
4.3per game · league avg 3.5
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Try Assists
At CommBank Stadium1.0(2)+0.7
Everywhere else0.3(54)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(3)
Dry games0.3(53)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Try Assists
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+71%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUJack Wighton0.31+250%
08-08SOUTevita Tatola0.000%
08-08SOUAlex Johnston0.40-100%
08-08SOUTallis Duncan0.32+620%
08-08SOUCody Walker1.02+100%
08-08SOUAshton Ward0.80-100%
08-08SOUMatthew Dufty0.40-100%
08-08SOUBrandon Smith0.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jaxon's. Computed from this app's own records.