25.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 28.7 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 20.0
+2.1 opponent leak — they concede 590/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 30.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Post Contact Metres
590.0per game · league avg 544.2
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium30.0(2)+5.4
Everywhere else24.6(54)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)27.7(3)+3.0
Dry games24.6(53)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-3.1
Avg diff %
-11%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOULachlan Hubner26.019-27%
08-08SOUJye Gray27.659+114%
08-08SOUJack Wighton32.924-27%
08-08SOUAlex Johnston26.225-5%
08-02WSTSione Fainu31.613-59%
08-02WSTPatrick Herbert27.626-6%
08-02WSTAdam Doueihi30.838+23%
08-02WSTStarford To'a26.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±4.3 of Jaxon's. Computed from this app's own records.