0.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.9 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.9
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 4.3/game vs a 3.5 league average
+0.6 at this ground — averages 1.5 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 0.9 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲venue ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Try Assists
4.3per game · league avg 3.5
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Try Assists
At CommBank Stadium1.5(4)+0.6
Everywhere else0.9(137)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(7)-0.2
Dry games0.9(134)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PAR · Try Assists
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+71%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUJack Wighton0.31+250%
08-08SOUTevita Tatola0.000%
08-08SOUAlex Johnston0.40-100%
08-08SOUTallis Duncan0.32+620%
08-08SOUCody Walker1.02+100%
08-08SOUAshton Ward0.80-100%
08-08SOUMatthew Dufty0.40-100%
08-08SOUBrandon Smith0.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Scott's. Computed from this app's own records.