129.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 130.3 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 128.4
−2.6 opponent leak — they concede 1652.5/game vs a 1686.6 league average
−6.2 at this ground — averages 123.3 there (40 gm)
vs them: averages 163.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▼venue ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o130.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.4°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 6.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tanielavs all playersStatDOL concedePer game
130.3
81
Run Metresneutral
38
1652.5
Taniela 130.3/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1686.6
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.8
60
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
13
30.4
Taniela 1.8/game
DOL concedes 30.4/game · league avg 32.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.6
74
Tacklesfavorable
69
351.7
Taniela 24.6/game
DOL concedes 351.7/game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Triesneutral
44
4.0
Taniela 0.1/game
DOL concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
56
3.5
Taniela 0.0/game
DOL concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Line Breaksneutral
50
4.8
Taniela 0.1/game
DOL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 5.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
81
Offloadsunfavorable
0
8.0
Taniela 0.8/game
DOL concedes 8.0/game · league avg 9.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
59.0
96
Post Contact Metresneutral
44
539.6
Taniela 59.0/game
DOL concedes 539.6/game · league avg 544.2
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Taniela130.3
81
DOL1652.5
38
Taniela 130.3/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1686.6
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Taniela1.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Run Metres
1652.5per game · league avg 1686.6
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At 4 Pines Park123.3(40)+7.3
Everywhere else116.0(61)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)141.8(8)+24.8
Dry games116.9(93)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs DOL · Run Metres
Avg diff
-6.0
Avg diff %
-4%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIXavier Willison124.6140+12%
08-08BRIReece Walsh133.897-28%
08-08BRIKotoni Staggs118.489-25%
08-08BRIPatrick Carrigan127.186-32%
08-08BRIDeine Mariner134.893-31%
07-31SGIValentine Holmes129.3232+79%
07-31SGIToby Couchman141.969-51%
07-31SGIRyan Couchman131.9188+42%
Similar = season average within ±19.5 of Taniela's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown96.5