0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 27.1/game vs a 23.7 league average
+0.7 at this ground — averages 0.7 there (12 gm)
vs them: averages 0.7 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Points
27.1per game · league avg 23.7
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Points
At Suncorp Stadium0.7(12)-0.1
Everywhere else0.7(86)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)1.1(7)+0.5
Dry games0.7(91)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Points
Avg diff
+0.4
Avg diff %
-4%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLJeremy Marshall-King0.70-100%
08-08DOLKulikefu Finefeuiaki0.60-100%
08-08DOLIsaiya Katoa0.60-100%
08-08DOLThomas Flegler0.50-100%
08-08DOLFrancis Molo0.000%
08-08DOLConnelly Lemuelu1.28+567%
08-08DOLKodi Nikorima0.70-100%
08-08DOLMorgan Knowles0.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Mitchell's. Computed from this app's own records.