149.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 148.7 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 151.5
+13.4 opponent leak — they concede 1838.8/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−11.6 at this ground — averages 138.3 there (12 gm)
vs them: averages 135.5 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Run Metres
1838.8per game · league avg 1687.8
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium138.3(12)+4.3
Everywhere else133.9(86)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)146.7(7)+13.2
Dry games133.5(91)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Run Metres
Avg diff
+2.3
Avg diff %
+2%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLKulikefu Finefeuiaki153.0163+7%
08-08DOLHerbie Farnworth161.8156-4%
08-08DOLJack Bostock161.8168+4%
08-08DOLJamayne Isaako161.2101-37%
08-01NEWDominic Young163.6171+5%
08-01NEWBradman Best139.2168+21%
07-25NQLScott Drinkwater149.9141-6%
07-25NQLJason Taumalolo154.3195+26%
Similar = season average within ±22.3 of Mitchell's. Computed from this app's own records.