0.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.1 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.1
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 3.4/game vs a 3.5 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 16.5°C☂ 0.3mm (73%)🌬 16.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Lachlanvs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
32.7
16
Run Metresneutral
63
1715.7
Lachlan 32.7/game
NEW concedes 1715.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
18
Tackle Breaksneutral
69
33.7
Lachlan 0.4/game
NEW concedes 33.7/game · league avg 32.8
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
12.1
36
Tacklesunfavorable
19
335.0
Lachlan 12.1/game
NEW concedes 335.0/game · league avg 344.9
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
38
4.0
Lachlan 0.0/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
52
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.4
Lachlan 0.1/game
NEW concedes 3.4/game · league avg 3.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
34
Line Breaksunfavorable
25
4.5
Lachlan 0.1/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
47
Offloadsneutral
63
10.0
Lachlan 0.3/game
NEW concedes 10.0/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
6.3
12
Post Contact Metresneutral
63
558.0
Lachlan 6.3/game
NEW concedes 558.0/game · league avg 544.2
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Lachlan32.7
16
NEW1715.7
63
Lachlan 32.7/game
NEW concedes 1715.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Lachlan0.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Try Assists
3.4per game · league avg 3.5
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Try Assists
At McDonald Jones Stadium0.0(2)-0.3
Everywhere else0.3(72)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(6)
Dry games0.3(68)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NEW · Try Assists
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-47%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CBRMatthew Timoko0.10-100%
08-09CBREthan Sanders0.80-100%
08-09CBRJed Stuart0.10-100%
08-09CBRSimi Sasagi0.60-100%
08-09CBRXavier Savage0.10-100%
08-09CBREthan Strange0.40-100%
08-09CBRKaeo Weekes0.21+320%
08-09CBRCorey Horsburgh0.00-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Lachlan's. Computed from this app's own records.