0.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.3 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.4
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 10.2/game vs a 9.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 6: 2 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 16.5°C☂ 0.3mm (73%)🌬 16.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Lachlanvs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
32.7
16
Run Metresneutral
56
1722.7
Lachlan 32.7/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
17
Tackle Breaksneutral
69
33.6
Lachlan 0.4/game
NEW concedes 33.6/game · league avg 32.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
12.1
36
Tacklesunfavorable
19
333.3
Lachlan 12.1/game
NEW concedes 333.3/game · league avg 344.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
38
4.0
Lachlan 0.0/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
52
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Lachlan 0.1/game
NEW concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
34
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.5
Lachlan 0.1/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
47
Offloadsneutral
63
10.2
Lachlan 0.3/game
NEW concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
6.3
12
Post Contact Metresneutral
63
559.8
Lachlan 6.3/game
NEW concedes 559.8/game · league avg 544.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Lachlan32.7
16
NEW1722.7
56
Lachlan 32.7/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Lachlan0.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Offloads
10.2per game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Offloads
At McDonald Jones Stadium0.0(2)-0.2
Everywhere else0.2(72)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(6)+0.1
Dry games0.2(68)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NEW · Offloads
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+12%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01BRIDeine Mariner0.10-100%
08-01BRIAdam Reynolds0.10-100%
08-01BRIJosiah Karapani0.000%
08-01BRIKotoni Staggs0.92+113%
08-01BRIGrant Anderson0.40-100%
08-01BRIEzra Mam0.21+350%
08-01BRIReece Walsh0.71+36%
08-01BRIVa'a Semu0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Lachlan's. Computed from this app's own records.