14.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 15.0 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 14.2
+1.3 opponent leak — they concede 594.4/game vs a 545.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 36.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Post Contact Metres
594.4per game · league avg 545.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Allianz Stadium34.0(2)+21.6
Everywhere else12.4(33)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)17.0(3)+3.7
Dry games13.3(32)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+1%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02WSTApisai Koroisau16.112-26%
07-11SYDTommy Talau14.10-100%
07-11SYDEgan Butcher16.935+107%
06-25SOUDayne Jennings17.310-42%
06-13CBRTom Starling12.915+16%
06-13CBRDaine Laurie13.922+58%
06-08CBYJack Underhill13.616+17%
05-30NEWPasami Saulo16.613-22%
Similar = season average within ±2.3 of Jamie's. Computed from this app's own records.