10.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.5 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 9.9
−0.7 opponent leak — they concede 322.1/game vs a 344.9 league average
−0.4 at this ground — averages 9.8 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 8.5 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Tackles
322.1per game · league avg 344.9
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At Suncorp Stadium9.8(13)-0.6
Everywhere else10.5(109)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)10.7(9)+0.3
Dry games10.4(113)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Tackles
Avg diff
+0.0
Avg diff %
0%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01NEWBrodie Jones10.85-53%
07-25NQLMatthew Lodge9.44-58%
07-04CROSiosifa Talakai11.218+61%
06-26SYDBilly Smith11.15-55%
06-11SOULiam Le Blanc10.116+59%
05-31SGIMoses Suli10.48-23%
05-17WARSam Healey11.122+99%
05-09MANJackson Shereb11.98-33%
Similar = season average within ±1.6 of Adam's. Computed from this app's own records.