11.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 11.5 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.1
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 194.8/game vs a 185.9 league average
+1.7 at this ground — averages 13.4 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 12.0 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Runs
194.8per game · league avg 185.9
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium13.4(13)+3.3
Everywhere else10.1(109)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)9.9(9)-0.6
Dry games10.5(113)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Runs
Avg diff
+2.4
Avg diff %
+21%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLIsaiya Katoa9.86-38%
08-08DOLConnelly Lemuelu11.614+21%
08-08DOLTom Gilbert11.510-13%
08-01NEWTrey Mooney12.219+56%
08-01NEWFletcher Sharpe12.414+13%
08-01NEWSandon Smith10.320+94%
08-01NEWBradman Best13.117+30%
08-01NEWJermaine McEwen11.812+2%
Similar = season average within ±1.7 of Adam's. Computed from this app's own records.