0.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.9 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.8
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 29.9/game vs a 23.6 league average
vs them: averages 2.2 over 11 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (79%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Britonvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
65.6
38
Run Metresneutral
100
1925.5
Briton 65.6/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1690.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
39
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Briton 1.0/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
29.1
82
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Briton 29.1/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
64
Triesneutral
100
5.2
Briton 0.2/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.1
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
50
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Briton 0.1/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
57
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.1
Briton 0.2/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
85
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Briton 0.9/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.9
43
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Briton 22.9/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 545.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Briton65.6
38
SGI1925.5
100
Briton 65.6/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1690.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Briton1.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Points
29.9per game · league avg 23.6
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Points
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else1.2(133)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.4(9)-0.8
Dry games1.3(124)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Points
Avg diff
-0.4
Avg diff %
0%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLThomas Flegler0.64+600%
07-31DOLConnelly Lemuelu0.80-100%
07-31DOLHerbie Farnworth1.80-100%
07-31DOLKodi Nikorima0.80-100%
07-31DOLJeremy Marshall-King0.70-100%
07-31DOLFrancis Molo0.000%
07-31DOLJack Bostock1.80-100%
07-31DOLKulikefu Finefeuiaki0.70-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Briton's. Computed from this app's own records.