0.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.2 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.3
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 6.1/game vs a 5.1 league average
vs them: averages 0.8 over 11 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 14: 2 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Britonvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
65.6
38
Run Metresneutral
100
1925.5
Briton 65.6/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
39
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Briton 1.0/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
29.1
82
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Briton 29.1/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
64
Triesneutral
100
5.2
Briton 0.2/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
51
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Briton 0.1/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
57
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.1
Briton 0.2/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
85
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Briton 0.9/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.9
43
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Briton 22.9/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Briton65.6
38
SGI1925.5
100
Briton 65.6/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Briton1.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Line Breaks
6.1per game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Line Breaks
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.4(133)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Line Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.2(9)-0.2
Dry games0.4(124)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Line Breaks
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
+80%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLHerbie Farnworth0.60-100%
07-31DOLThomas Flegler0.11+650%
07-31DOLJamayne Isaako1.00-100%
07-31DOLJack Bostock0.30-100%
07-31DOLSelwyn Cobbo1.13+165%
07-31DOLKodi Nikorima0.21+325%
07-31DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow0.50-100%
07-31DOLJeremy Marshall-King0.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Briton's. Computed from this app's own records.