0.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.1 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.1
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 3.5/game vs a 3.9 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 0.1 there (57 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 2: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away. Round 6: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Line Break Assists
3.5per game · league avg 3.9
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Line Break Assists
At Suncorp Stadium0.1(57)-0.2
Everywhere else0.3(49)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(8)
Dry games0.2(98)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Line Break Assists
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
-4%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENIzack Tago0.21+400%
08-07PENMoses Leota0.20-100%
08-07PENThomas Jenkins0.000%
08-07PENPaul Alamoti0.30-100%
08-07PENBrian To'o0.10-100%
08-07PENNathan Cleary1.22+70%
08-07PENJaxen Edgar0.30-100%
08-07PENFreddy Lussick0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Patrick's. Computed from this app's own records.