36.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 37.4 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 36.0
+2.2 opponent leak — they concede 365.4/game vs a 344.7 league average
−4.0 at this ground — averages 32.8 there (74 gm)
vs them: averages 36.2 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tackles
365.4per game · league avg 344.7
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Suncorp Stadium32.8(74)-1.4
Everywhere else34.2(54)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)28.0(9)-5.8
Dry games33.8(119)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Tackles
Avg diff
+1.9
Avg diff %
+6%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENIsaah Yeo36.719-48%
08-07PENIsaiah Papali'i33.438+14%
08-07PENLiam Henry33.547+40%
08-01GLDBeau Fermor34.644+27%
08-01GLDOliver Pascoe38.144+16%
07-25CBYLeo Thompson35.931-14%
07-25CBYBailey Hayward39.041+5%
07-25CBYMax King33.636+7%
Similar = season average within ±5.6 of Jordan's. Computed from this app's own records.